Former Assin Central MP Kennedy Ohene Agyapong has emerged as the frontrunner in the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential primaries, according to a nationwide survey of party delegates conducted by researcher Dr. Evans Duah. The three-phase study, conducted between August 2025 and January 2026, examined shifts in delegate preferences in the aftermath of the NPP’s 2024 electoral defeat. Covering all 16 regions and 276 constituencies, the survey targeted 40,988 delegates, with 31,556 interviews successfully completed and validated, Dr. Duah confirmed
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Under the survey’s “best-case” scenario, which allocates undecided delegates proportionally, Agyapong secured 52.59% support nationwide. He was followed by former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia on 36.24%, with Dr. Bryan Acheampong at 8.60%. Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum and Kwabena Agyei Agyapong trailed with 2.05% and 0.52% respectively. Dr. Duah said the multi-wave approach was designed to capture gradual post-election realignments rather than immediate swings, noting that all data passed quality assurance checks.
Heavy regions
Results were analysed under both conservative and full-allocation scenarios to account for uncertainty among undecided delegates. According to the findings, Agyapong recorded the strongest net gains across the survey period, driven by rising support in delegate-heavy regions including Ashanti, Greater Accra, Eastern, Central, Western and Volta. The report attributed his momentum to what it described as sustained engagement and messaging focused on economic recovery and resilience after the 2024 loss.
Bawumia’s net decline
According to the study, Bawumia, the NPP’s 2024 presidential candidate, experienced an overall decline in support as his backing weakened beyond his traditional northern strongholds. Although he maintained influence in certain allied regions, the report noted that limited gains in the southern and middle-belt areas hindered his broader recovery. Acheampong’s support varied across the survey phases, with the study characterising his role as one that “narrowed margins” rather than posing a direct challenge for the lead. His base was tied to organisational networks and contested constituencies.
Meanwhile, Adutwum and Kwabena Agyei Agyapong recorded minimal support, largely restricted to scattered regional clusters or symbolic involvement. “This study marks a shift from fluid reassessment to structured consolidation,” Dr. Duah observed, adding that Kennedy Agyapong’s lead reflected early post-election judgments by delegates and deliberate engagement in key regions.
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Source: Jonathan Ofori
